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Test and Protect

Discussion in 'Scotland - education news' started by MilkyBar Kid, May 22, 2020.

  1. MilkyBar Kid

    MilkyBar Kid Occasional commenter

    Or Track n Trace, or Test, Trace and Isolate. Take your pick. According to NS "Test and Protect is critical to the re-opening of schools". Indeed, along with social distancing this is now the only tool in the locker to control the virus. Call me naive, but the recent record of the SG on TracknTrace, i.e. Nike conference, and the highlighted tracking recruits, mostly unemployed uni graduates who havn't got a clue what to do so are being paid to watch Netflix and Youtube all day, doesn't inspire confidence.

    NS estimates that there are 25,000 in Scotland who are currently infected, who will be tracked, tested and isolated by our merry band of 2000 trackers in Scotland. They will then inform everyone they have been in contact with to self-isolate for 7 days (if alone) or 14 days if they are part of a family. Does anyone seriously think this is going to work?

    The whole Test and Protect system is predicated on the assumption of compliance. Portobello beach demonstrated just how compliant we are, "Stay at Home" anyone. If we failed to track n trace a handful at the beginning how on earth do we think we will cope better now with thousands out there infected.

    The R number, hospital admissions, and deaths will continue to drop throughout June and NS and BJ will congratulate themselves on a 'world-class' Track n Trace system. However we all know there is a 3-4 week lag in changes to restrictions so the numbers will pick up again in July, and by the time we reach August we'll be back to square one with the numbers heading in the wrong direction. Back in lockdown come Sep/Oct.

    So how will it work in schools? If a pupil or staff member is tested positive will you be able to track everyone they have been in contact with? Good luck with that!
     
    Last edited: May 22, 2020
    bigjimmy2 likes this.
  2. JPM1967

    JPM1967 New commenter

    What is your solution, Milky Bar Kid?
     
  3. JPM1967

    JPM1967 New commenter

    For what it's worth, Milky Bar Kid, I agree with your assessment that there is likely to be a second wave/peak. It was initially forecast to be Sep/Oct but recent modelling is apparently showing Jul/Aug.

    The behavioural psychologists predicted (fairly accurately by all accounts) the level of compliance and when this would begin to break down - as evidenced by the scenes on Portobello beach to which you refer. Apparently, the same psychologists have stressed to the government that one, continuous lockdown will not work; the public require a short return to some semblance of freedom and normality otherwise they will simply disobey the guidelines and there will also be an irreversible impact on mental health.

    When the infection rate increases, and the hospital admissions and daily deaths begin to rise again, a second lock down will be necessary.

    All of the which throws into doubt whether schools will actually re-open in August. The plan to do so is optimistic but at least gives families some hope that there may be light at the end of the tunnel.
     

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