1. This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn More.
  2. Hi Guest, welcome to the TES Community!

    Connect with like-minded professionals and have your say on the issues that matter to you.

    Don't forget to look at the how to guide.

    Dismiss Notice

Italy's current account (BofP) surplus

Discussion in 'Business studies' started by gec118, May 25, 2018.

  1. gec118

    gec118 New commenter

    Does anyone have any thoughts on why Italy has such a huge Balance of Trade surplus? (US$42bn, 2016 https://data.oecd.org/trade/trade-in-goods-and-services.htm#indicator-chart).
    I thought Italy was a basket case of low productivitiy, aging population, high youth unemployment and poor, inefficient industry.
    I don't get what it is exporting of such value: tourism, wine, food, some cars, no doubt machinery. But surely it is importing so much more: tech, food, more cars...
    Surely this is an export-led recovery that must be reducing unemployment and boosting growth. What incredible (Germanic) consumer restraint (a high savings ratio?).
    Why is Italy in so much trouble (and voting for populist parties) with such a strong and successful current account?
    How is it possible that Italy can achieve what the US never can despite the incredible strength of so many US firms (Ford, Apple, Google, Amazon, Starbucks, McDonalds, Walmart..........), not to mention its incredible film, music, software, R&D industries.
    Is it simply down to the way trade data is recorded? According to tradingeconomics.com (https://tradingeconomics.com/italy/balance-of-trade) March saw a 9.2% fall in exports to the UK, 12% fall to Belgium and an 8% rise to the Netherlands. These are huge swings. Could it simply be that goods to/from China are passing through Rotterdam, Antwerp, UK ports and the data is a mess? i.e. there is no surplus after all, it's just accounting anomalies.
    Very interested in any views?
    italy bop.PNG
     
  2. needabreak

    needabreak Star commenter

    Clothing, shoes, cars and machinary, metals are exported and food, fuel and pharmaceuticals the main imports.

    Clearly we are all suckers for their (brands) style, cars... and holidays.
     
  3. gec118

    gec118 New commenter

    Yes, I know what their main exports and imports are. The question is really why they have such a strong surplus.
    I think I’ve cracked it. I think it’s not that exports are especially strong (lower than the UK’s) but that imports are so low - a sign of weak domestic demand.
    UK population: 65m
    Italy population: 60m
    UK exports: $815bn --- $12.5bn/person
    UK imports: $926bn --- $14.2bn/person
    Italy exports: $637bn --- $10.6bn/person
    Italy imports: $594bn --- $9.9bn/person
     
    needabreak likes this.
  4. needabreak

    needabreak Star commenter

    Well we are a have it all society aren't we.
     

Share This Page